First moveable type edition, the second traceable overall and one of 35 copies only, of a truly prescient work.
This edition was printed seven decades after the almost unobtainable suppressed xylographic first edition (1791) which landed the author in prison.
Hayashi's landmark geopolitical analysis was the first to suggest that Japan could not remain isolated and needed an outward-facing military policy and a modernized navy.
In the late 18th century, Japanese intellectual society was electrified by the discovery of a letter from the exiled Hungarian aristocrat Count Maurice Benyovszky to a Dutch factory trader in Nagasaki, thanking him for provisioning Benyovszky's ship and describing Russian plans for an attack on Hokkaido and its neighbouring islands.
While the count's claims concerning Russia were wildly incorrect, in Japan his warnings "started a new type of thinking about the problems of war.
Apart from two abortive attempts by the Mongols to invade the country in the thirteenth century, Japan had never known the fear of attack from abroad, and military defense planning had been confined to problems that might arise in such internal warfare as had beset the country before the establishment of peace in 1600.
The sudden revelation of an external threat to Japan necessitated a great change in strategy, and led to serious agitation in favour of increased military preparations" (Keene 1969, p. 35).
Hayashi Shihei's (1738-1793) Kaikoku heidan was by far the most important product of this new intellectual climate.
His core thesis, posited at a time when Japan did not have a single armed naval vessel, was that Japan must strengthen its coastal defences in the face of mounting threats not only from Russia - he specifically cites the Benyovszky letter - but also China: "military preparation for Japan means a knowledge of how to repel foreign invaders, a vital consideration at present.
The way to do this is by naval warfare; the essential factor in naval warfare is guns.
To be well prepared in both respects is the true requisite of Japanese defense.
Only when naval warfare has been mastered should land warfare be considered" (translated in Keene 2006, p. 147).
In the eyes of the shogunate, Hayashi's public criticisms were "inimical to the internal security of the state" (Keene 1969, p. 44).
In 1791, when only 38 complete copies of an intended 1,000 had been printed and bound, Hayashi was denounced for spreading falsehoods and incarcerated in Edo; he then lived under house arrest in Sendai until his death.
Copies of Kaikoku heidan were burned, while the blocks were confiscated.
Over the next few decades, the text circulated via surreptitiously copied manuscript versions.
The present edition was printed privately at a time when Hayasi's ideas could not yet be openly celebrated.
It is a rare example of the use of moveable type printing ("mokkatsujiban") in a bibliographic culture still dominated by xylography.
As Peter Kornicki has argued, small moveable type editions, not commercially circulated, were used as a means to circumvent the strict censorship regime applied to woodblock printing.
Kaikoku heidan would not be formally resurrected until Japanese politics began to shift in the mid-19th century, with a commercial woodblock edition finally appearing in 1856, three years after Perry first visited Japan.
We have traced only two copies of the present edition in the Tokugawa Shogunate official library (Shizuoka Prefectural Central Library) and the Sapporo Municipal Central Library.
For the 1791 first edition, only eight copies survive institutionally.
The only copy traced privately is the Hyde copy sold at Christie's in 1988 and now being offered for sale by Peter Harrington.
Provenance: ownership seals of the Nakamura clan of New Tsukiji; private collection, UK.
Donald Keene, The Japanese Discovery of Europe, 1720-1830, 1969; idem, Frog in the Well: Portraits of Japan by Watanabe Kazan, 1793-1841, 2006.
Ten volumes, octavo (250.